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Blackjack Betting Strategy

Australian casinos are quite tricky and he's been able to beat them with just modified NOR rules? Upload or insert images from URL. My 2 to 1 suggestion needs further development, thought and testing. Because each count is essentially equal to its mean after 20 plays, so at least at this point there does not appear to be much bias. Next trip I'll coordinate with you so we can meet up I used your delayed trigger for the 2's but I used the original triggers for the others. All your counts will be running close together and may even tie now and then. Report post. Hey NTRL9, thanks for posting the shoes and a summary of how you did. Reminds me of Ellis saying that we have to be aggressive in the good shoes and protective in the bad shoes. In the shoes I looked at so far, about half my winning bets seem to be "confirmed" by SAP and about half of the winning bets might not have been made if following SAP. Out of curiosity, I looked further at the two loosing shoes to see if SAP would have told me anything. I have to say, most of your 20 shoes look like they would have been rich in these type of setups, so I would like to think capturing another 20 units and having to carry home those 50 units was doable. I am having very good results just looking for either S40 or OTBL setups and then looking to make a short sequence of bets to capture units per setup. To get an MDB signal, you need some disparity first, so the counts will likely not be even. We can bet the highest count goes down and the lowest count goes up. Using SAP would confine you to that table? Almost correct PurpleInk. I plan on using my first day or at least part of it in Vegas to do a little recon. I thought I was going to go home up 50 units, so much so that I was worried about traveling home with all that cash. Posted May 21, edited. Of course, it's easy to see this when looking at the shoes now. And that bet comes up with every Opposite - half the time. This trip SAP saved me on a few of the crazy shoes. Now you don't get many bets but the few you do get are winners. In that sense it was not good but it forced me to keep my eye on the SAP count. So we don't want to bet 2s go to 3. What's a set up? But what defines "pretty much even"? We don't want to bet against 2s - We need 2's. Clear editor. Yes, it makes sense that you want the counts to be pretty much even, which signals the lack of a strong bias. But if the shoe is showing periods of choppiness, I would look for something like a and would then bet opposite the 2. Using that as a sign of a biased shoe, you could have avoided a couple bets and probably finished up 1 or 2 units in the shoe instead of In shoe 8, the counts were 7 6 8 8. In the random table example, the mean count is 4. I would be interested what casinos these shoes are from, and whether they are touch games or no touch where the cards are re-used. I am grateful that my first shoe had no 3's because it was a big time wake up call I lowered my unit size to only play black for the remainder of the trip because I was not feeling very confident. So we bet an opposite. By glancing at a few of these shoes I would think you could navigate through then with just S40 and not a lot more? And it might be bad because the SAP counts are too far flung and in that case right, we delay our progs. In that case, we bet sooner - not later. I asked the question here rather than privately because I'm sure your answer will help others as well. For your convience: Edited May 21, by Guest.{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} Right a random vs bias count could help. The question is, are they, in fact, the best opportunities? On the first one shoe6 , at the point of decision the counts for 3s and 4s were three times the 1s. But, if you are expecting a change up, and you are prepared for it, you can often take advantage of it. In my case I find it ok to just wait for at least two triggers while the shoe is in random mode. It was a quiet at MGM but Aria definitely had more action. Real world is always harder, and really don't know how I would have played the shoes at the time. NOR does that very well. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account. In which case we'd rather wait and bet the next 4 goes to 5. Display as a link instead. Some of my very best MDB shoes do finish with close to the same SAP numbers, but there is plenty of what appears to be bias during the shoe. Let me note also that the low bet shoes would have difficult to win at otherwise. It has both system selection and mode selection as well as prog selection. Your input and feedback will be greatly appreciated. We are sacrificing a few bets in random cards to cover regular cards. I'm anxious to to understand your new thinking on this. Good luck, and give it a quick try for just a few hands, selected randomly, from your previously played shoes Must say I was surprised to see all the 1's, and 1's and 2's in these shoes. Paste as plain text instead. So it may be a matter of how strong the bias is. I'm not in front of the score cards but if I think the first 5 were from MGM and the others from Aria. Well, I'm sorry there are no hard and fast rules, I'm really just going by experience. The one thing I can say is that after my first day of play I kept an eye on the SAP count and did not chase LC events blindly assuming that they would even out. As RSAP goes against the hi and with the lo count I would think in the example that you gave that I'd bet with the 2 going to a 3. Have not given up yet, and will continue to analyze both good and bad shoes. Recommended Posts. But, unless the casino is plundering and pillaging relentlessly, or all of Vegas is " in cahoots" with one-another, it pretty much will be This is great " hit and run" baccarat, or moving table to table, as opposed to playing whole shoes or waiting for MDB triggers. I played the high limit room in both. It was a quick trip, I got in late Thursday night and I left Sunday night. You can post now and register later. Prev 1 2 3 Next Page 1 of 3. I wouldn't say these shoes are out of character for Vegas, but it is a little unusual that in 20 shoes there is a pretty strong consistent theme of lots of 1s and low 3s. This thread is on the NOR forum so I am not going to go into specific play but I will give my thoughts Vegas has a lot of distractions but I was focused I must say I was a bit shocked after the first day The SAP counts were all over the place and imagine my surprise when my very first shoe had. Sort of a double whammy. Remember, bias is exactly what MDB needs to set up wining bets. Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible. Except when all the counts are tied, there is always a high count to bet against and a low count to bet WITH. Only 75 emoji are allowed. {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}Looking at your short example, what would you say about this after the 20 plays? Again, this is an example, not a rule. When you are winning, especially if the whole table is winning with you, it is the Pit Boss's job to DO something. To keep with the theme of this thread SAP can and will help you if you let it I play NOR every day at my home casino because they deal regular cards and the shoes are mostly biased some more than others. My biggest concern is whether SAP will signal the decisions in time. But I think with practice, SAP can tell us the difference. Walking around the tables looking for opportunities. Sorry guys but I'm still not getting any post notifications so I only see your questions if I luck on to them. I missed out on a few bets but more importantly it kept me from losing progressions on shoes like the no or low 3's I am waiting for Way2fast to comment to see if this is what he is seeing regularly in Vegas.